Long Range Forecasts

[Rene Artois]

Points accrued from the remaining games:

H – Curzon Ashton = 0
A – Scarborough Athletic = 0
A – South Shields = 1
H – Alfreton Town = 1
H – Chester = 1
A – Bishop’s Stortford = 3
A – Spennymoor Town = 1
H – Banbury United = 1
A – Warrington Town = 0
H – King’s Lynn Town = 3
A – Southport = 3
H – Hereford = 3
H – Blyth Spartans = 3
A – Gloucester City = 1

21 points.

Total points = 82

Weighted points each season of the 7th placed team in the league.
(Last season was the first one over 46 games)

22-23… 68pts
21-22… 69
20-21… Covid
19-20… Covid
18-19… 71
17-18… 69
16-17… 80
15-16… 69
14-15… 76
13-14… 76
12-13… 76
11-12… 72
10-11… 71

Tamworth will be promoted as Champions.
Personally, I hope we don’t finish as runners up or third.
I think those teams that play in the Playoff Semi-Finals have an advantage and are ‘in the zone’

Play offs will be an absolute lottery!

Here’s how one site sees the final table looking:

https://www.footballwebpages.co.uk/national-league-north/league-table/predicted

[ironfromafar]

Next 5 fixtures , Curz , Sboro, SS , Alfy and Chester .. what do members think the points tally will be out of the max 15 ..??
Not wishing to be doom n gloom merchant but im thinking 9 max

1 user thanked author for this post.

Rene Artois

[Rene Artois]

Rene Artois wrote:

Points accrued from the remaining games:

H – Curzon Ashton = 0
A – Scarborough Athletic = 0
A – South Shields = 1
H – Alfreton Town = 1
H – Chester = 1
A – Bishop’s Stortford = 3
A – Spennymoor Town = 1
H – Banbury United = 1
A – Warrington Town = 0
H – King’s Lynn Town = 3
A – Southport = 3
H – Hereford = 3
H – Blyth Spartans = 3
A – Gloucester City = 1

21 points.

Total points = 82

Weighted points each season of the 7th placed team in the league.
(Last season was the first one over 46 games)

22-23… 68pts
21-22… 69
20-21… Covid
19-20… Covid
18-19… 71
17-18… 69
16-17… 80
15-16… 69
14-15… 76
13-14… 76
12-13… 76
11-12… 72
10-11… 71

Tamworth will be promoted as Champions.
Personally, I hope we don’t finish as runners up or third.
I think those teams that play in the Playoff Semi-Finals have an advantage and are ‘in the zone’

Play offs will be an absolute lottery!

Here’s how one site sees the final table looking:

https://www.footballwebpages.co.uk/national-league-north/league-table/predicted

I take no pleasure from today’s correct prediction.

[IronIronIron]

But you will draw attention to it. Prat.

[Rene Artois]

IronIronIron wrote:

But you will draw attention to it. Prat.

“Retaliation is counter-poison and poison breeds more poison. The nectar of Love alone can destroy the poison of hate.”

Mahatma Gandhi

[Iron-awe]

My long range forecast , storm clouds continue to gather but a thin blue line of embargo free sky signals better times ahead.

1 user thanked author for this post.

Rene Artois

[Rene Artois]

77 points would (90%) guarantee us a place in the play offs.

We are currently on 61 points.

At max, we need another 16 points.

14 games remaining.

We will be in the play offs.

In the stats above (previous post), 72 points has been enough in 7 of the last 11 completed seasons (65% occurrence)

So, even a total as abysmal as 11 points from the remaining 42 points is more likely than not [2:1] to see us finish in the PO places.

[*Y*] As can be seen, we could in theory not win another game all season but still be in the play offs.

And with that stat [*Y*] – we really do need to further ask… what’s gone / going wrong?

[Rene Artois]

Rene Artois wrote:

Predicted points accrued from the remaining games:

H – Curzon Ashton = 0
A – Scarborough Athletic = 0
A – South Shields = 1

H – Alfreton Town = 1
H – Chester = 1
A – Bishop’s Stortford = 3
A – Spennymoor Town = 1
H – Banbury United = 1
A – Warrington Town = 0
H – King’s Lynn Town = 3
A – Southport = 3
H – Hereford = 3
H – Blyth Spartans = 3
A – Gloucester City = 1

21 points.

Total points = 82

Weighted points each season of the 7th placed team in the league.
(Last season was the first one over 46 games)

22-23… 68pts
21-22… 69
20-21… Covid
19-20… Covid
18-19… 71
17-18… 69
16-17… 80
15-16… 69
14-15… 76
13-14… 76
12-13… 76
11-12… 72
10-11… 71

Tamworth will be promoted as Champions.
Personally, I hope we don’t finish as runners up or third.
I think those teams that play in the Playoff Semi-Finals have an advantage and are ‘in the zone’

Play offs will be an absolute lottery!

Here’s how one site sees the final table looking:

https://www.footballwebpages.co.uk/national-league-north/league-table/predicted

Risking being titled a part again here… hey ho.

It saddens me deeply that we’re turning out the performances and results that we are.

If it’s ’player power’ – will they be able to flick the switch and return to winning ways if Jimbob is shown the door?

[Rene Artois]

Rene Artois wrote:

Predicted points accrued from the remaining games:

H – Curzon Ashton = 0
A – Scarborough Athletic = 0
A – South Shields = 1
H – Alfreton Town = 1
H – Chester = 1

###########################

A – Bishop’s Stortford = 3
A – Spennymoor Town = 1
H – Banbury United = 1
A – Warrington Town = 0
H – King’s Lynn Town = 3
A – Southport = 3
H – Hereford = 3
H – Blyth Spartans = 3
A – Gloucester City = 1

21 points.

Total points = 82

Weighted points each season of the 7th placed team in the league.
(Last season was the first one over 46 games)

22-23… 68pts
21-22… 69
20-21… Covid
19-20… Covid
18-19… 71
17-18… 69
16-17… 80
15-16… 69
14-15… 76
13-14… 76
12-13… 76
11-12… 72
10-11… 71

Tamworth will be promoted as Champions.
Personally, I hope we don’t finish as runners up or third.
I think those teams that play in the Playoff Semi-Finals have an advantage and are ‘in the zone’

Play offs will be an absolute lottery!

Here’s how one site sees the final table looking:

https://www.footballwebpages.co.uk/national-league-north/league-table/predicted

We’re ahead of my predictions.
We’ve actually taken 5 points from the last 5 games.
The next 9 games are an easier set of fixtures and we should pick up plenty of points.

[Rene Artois]

Predictions as of February 8th.
Actual points in brackets.

H – Curzon Ashton = 0 – (0)
A – Scarborough = 0 – (1)
A – South Shields = 1 – (0)
H – Alfreton = 1 – (3)
H – Chester = 1 – (1)
A – Bishop’s S = 3 – (3)
H – Banbury United = 1 – (3)
A – Warrington Town = 0 – (3)
A – Spennymoor Town = 1 – (0)

Predicted points (above) = 8
Actual points (above) = 14

Remaining fixtures (predicted Feb 8th):

H – King’s Lynn Town = 3
A – Southport = 3
H – Hereford = 3
H – Blyth Spartans = 3
A – Gloucester City = 1

Weighted points for each season of the 7th placed team in the league.
(Last season was the first one played over 46 games)

22-23… 68pts
21-22… 69
20-21… Covid
19-20… Covid
18-19… 71
17-18… 69
16-17… 80
15-16… 69
14-15… 76
13-14… 76
12-13… 76
11-12… 72
10-11… 71

Tamworth will be promoted as Champions.
Personally, I hope we don’t finish as runners up or third.
I think those teams that play in the Playoff Semi-Finals have an advantage and are ‘in the zone’

Play offs will be an absolute lottery!

##############################

Maybe the ‘plan’ is to finish fourth?

[Author]

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